Football (Soccer) Betting Strategy – Find Out How To Win By Picking Draws
There are bettors who like the “push” market as it pays well. A common argument amongst these ‘draws’ bettors is “Are draws independent of form, ie are they random?”. There are two views:
* One opinion is that the draws are independent of previous results, that each game is different. These bettors don’t buy into the theory that a push is due just because it hasn’t happened for a long time. They believe that the result of the match depends on the circumstances and conditions of that particular game, for example: the attacking and defending capabilities of both teams, the weather on that day, the field conditions, etc.
* There are opposing bettors who strongly believe that the probability of a draw depends on the previous games, which comes down to the psychology and mentality of the players on drawish teams.
Regardless of what field these draw specialists are in, everyone agrees that betting on the draw is worth more compared to betting on home or away as the average odds are more attractive.
When choosing winning ‘draws’, the following factors should be considered:
1) It is essential to choose the teams instead of choosing the matches, this draw is largely due to the style of play, such as:
* The defensive style and the fight to attack will tend to attract more.
* The formation and attack tactics will not draw too often.
2) If a certain team draws some games, analyze why:
* Does the team have trouble scoring? If so why. (Is the key striker injured?)
* Is the team known for its tight defense?
* Is it psychological? Maybe a team on a long losing streak can try harder to get at least one point, i.e. a draw.
3) The following tendencies in matches ending in a tie are common:
* Matches where both teams are happy with one point, for example a draw is enough for both to avoid relegation or qualify for a cup competition.
* Matches played in bad weather conditions like heavy rain which usually lead to fewer goals and higher chances of a draw.
* Derby matches where a draw can satisfy both games.
* The home team in great form against the away team in a solid position at the top of the table.
4) Teams that draw heavily against each other repeatedly could mean:
* They are equal in strength.
* There is some kind of psychological impact that it is difficult for one of them to bring down the other.
5) Take note of the following:
* If a team has been drawing a lot, and if they have named a new manager, wait a few games to see if this team is still drawing frequently.
* Beware of newly promoted and newly demoted teams where performance can be erratic.
* Teams that improve in form and that may be more likely to draw playing away.
Some leagues appear to have a higher or lower percentage of draws compared to others. This could be due to the characteristics of the leagues in terms of competitiveness, or even the prevalence of match-fixing. That is why some bookmakers do not offer odds on certain European minor league games at the end of the season.